NFL Week 4 odds, expert picks for all 16 games: Five undefeated teams hit the road as rivalries heat up (2024)

All five undefeated teams will unpack their bags on the road for NFL Week 4.

The top games for this week include an AFC West matchup of Patrick Mahomes and his undefeated Kansas City Chiefs taking on the Los Angeles Chargers. The chess match between Jim Harbaugh and Andy Reid should be epic.

Right after that, new MVP favorite Josh Allen will travel with the Buffalo Bills to take on 2023 MVP Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens. Then, on Monday Night, we get to see the Detroit Lions and Seattle Seahawks in a rematch from Week 2 last season, when Seattle won in OT.

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Everyone is saying it: It’s been a weird year in the NFL so far with favorites going bust, survivor leagues decimated and surprise stars emerging. It’s not just the winners and losers, but — as anyone who watches football can attest — the way the game is being played. In Week 3 the league finally saw the per-game passing yard total creep above the 200-yard mark. That stat has been declining over the past four years to the point that many are asking what’s happening with quarterbacks.

Part of the answer, according to The Athletic’s Mike Sando, is that quarterbacks are younger this year than they’ve been in over 60 years. Another reason? With defenses adapting to the passing game, offenses are returning to a physical run game, with teams averaging 4.4 yards per carry, just shy of 2022’s peak at 4.5. NFL teams are seeing their quarterbacks struggle under pressure, and those with the talent up front on the offensive line (see the Eagles, Lions and Packers) have emphasized running the football.

Will Week 4 continue the trends in underdog ascendancy, or will some of this season’s quirks simmer down?

—Dan Holmes

We’ve got odds, previews, how to watch and expert picks for each game. But first, let’s review how our experts did last week.

Picks leaderboard

RanksWin %Record

1. Chad Graff

60%

29-19-0

2. Larry Holder

58%

28-20-0

3. Josh Kendall

57%

27-20-0

4. Tashan Reed

56%

27-21-0

5. Michael-Shawn Dugar

56%

27-21-0

6. Austin Mock

54%

26-22-0

7. Josiah Turner

52%

25-23-0

8. Zac Jackson

52%

25-23-0

9. Ben Standig

48%

23-25-0

10. Nick Kosmider

44%

14-18-0

All odds from BetMGM. Looking for NFL tickets? Find them here. For information on streaming, click here.

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Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (Thursday, Prime Video)

Even though the New York Giants are coming off a big road win in Cleveland, and even though the Dallas Cowboys have dropped two games in a row and are giving up nearly 30 points per game, the latter still find themselves as a road favorite (by nearly a touchdown) for Thursday’s game at MetLife Stadium.

The two big things to watch going into Thursday’s game are going to be the emergence of Giants rookie wide receiver Malik Nabers, as well as the state of the Cowboys defense after a second straight disappointing — and downright concerning — showing.

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When it comes to Nabers, he already looks like a rising superstar in the NFL and is coming off a monster Week 3 performance that saw him score two touchdowns. Entering Week 4, he is already fifth in the NFL with 271 receiving yards and looks borderline unstoppable, even with a mid-level quarterback in Daniel Jones throwing to him.

The rookie wideout is going to be a massive test for a Cowboys defense that has allowed over 430 yards in each of the past two games.

Despite those concerns, the Cowboys still should have the overall talent edge on paper and they have done extremely well as road favorites under head coach Mike McCarthy. Since McCarthy took over, the Cowboys are 13-5 against the spread as road favorites, the second-best mark in the league during that stretch.

On the flip side, the Giants are only 14-12-1 against the spread as home underdogs during that same time period, but they are 8-4-1 since 2022 under head coach Brian Daboll.

Given how poorly the Cowboys defense has played so far, as well as the fact they have one of the league’s best offenses through three weeks, the over should absolutely be in play here. The over has hit in each of the Cowboys’ first three games this season.

—Adam Gretz

Expert picks

Pittsburgh Steelers at Indianapolis Colts (CBS)

Pittsburgh Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin has not yet made Justin Fields the team’s official starting quarterback, but he is still in line to start a fourth consecutive game to open the season when they play the Indianapolis Colts on Sunday afternoon. The Steelers, with a 3-0 start, are a small road favorite against the 1-2 Colts, who are coming off their first win of the season.

The Steelers’ Week 3 win against the Los Angeles Chargers seemed like a big development for Fields as he had by far his best passing day of the season, leading four scoring drives (including two touchdown drives) in another win. If he is able to guide Pittsburgh to a win on Sunday with another strong performance it would be difficult to imagine Russell Wilson getting the starting job back anytime soon.

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It could be a promising offensive matchup for the Steelers, given their desire to run the ball and the Colts’ struggles in stopping the run at times early this season. But Pittsburgh is dealing with some injuries in the ground game, as starting left guard Isaac Seumalo is still working his way back from injury while running backs Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren are both dealing with injuries. Harris is expected to play but was seen with a sling on his arm earlier in the week.

This is also going to be a massive test for Colts quarterback Anthony Richardson, going up against a Steelers defense with a relentless pass rush that is allowing just 8.6 points per game through the first three weeks. Richardson has been a very boom-or-bust player early in his career. While he’s struggling with turnovers, he’s also making some of the most jaw-dropping throws you can imagine from a quarterback. There will be big-play opportunities in both directions here.

Mike Tomlin is only 32-40-3 against the spread as a road favorite in his head coaching career (going back to the start of the 2007 season), but he is 4-1 in such games since the start of the 2022 season.

—Adam Gretz

Expert picks

Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (CBS)

We can’t be sure which team will win this NFC North battle, but the result may hint at what’s to come in their next meeting. That’s because the Green Bay Packers and Minnesota Vikings have split their season series every year since 2020. For this edition of the rivalry, oddsmakers have listed the Packers as favorites to win at Lambeau Field.

Apparently the post-Kirk Cousins era is going to be just fine in Minnesota. The Vikings are undefeated with Sam Darnold leading the huddle. With eight passing scores through three games, it appears Darnold could be having a breakout season at age 27 after a career that started in 2018 as the No. 3 overall pick.

As much as the play of their red-headed QB has been welcome, it doesn’t hurt that the Minnesota defense has surrendered only three touchdowns, and only one on the ground. Both of these defenses have been good at creating turnovers, which could make this game feature plenty of flips and twists. The Packers lead the NFL with nine takeaways, while the Vikings have forced six turnovers, which ranks third in the league.

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Jordan Love could return for Green Bay on Sunday. Then again, it could be Malik Willis getting the start again for the Packers, which has turned out pretty well so far. As a backup for the injured Love, Willis has performed brilliantly in a pair of wins. Willis is a game manager, and his 73.5 completion percentage is delivering for this offense, even if it comes on only 17 attempts per game. The Vikings will be forced to prepare as if Love will return, and if he does, the Minnesota front four will be charged with pursuing the wounded fourth-year quarterback.

—Dan Holmes

Expert picks

Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans (CBS)

The Houston Texans are touchdown favorites against the Jacksonville Jaguars, a sizable spread symbolic of the Jaguars’ disappointing start thus far. The team seems to be going in reverse under head coach Doug Pederson. Following a pair of 9-8 seasons and a playoff appearance, the Jags have been ineffective on offense this season. They rank 30th in points and 27th in yards.

Player health will impact the scoring possibilities for this game. Wide receiver Tank Dell torched the Jaguars for 145 yards and a touchdown last season in their first meeting, but he’s questionable. Houston running back Joe Mixon is also banged up after missing last week’s game, which means the Texans have a gaping hole in their offense. If he plays, Mixon has a track record against the Jags: He scored a pair of TDs last season against them as a member of the Bengals.

On the other side, the main question is, who is Trevor Lawrence? The No. 1 overall pick from 2021 now has 53 regular season starts, and even if we discount his rookie campaign when he had a dreadful supporting cast and head coaching drama, he’s 17-19 with a very average completion percentage of 65 percent. With his flowing hair and athletic ability, Lawrence was supposed to be the chosen one for this franchise. Instead, he just looks like an ordinary NFL quarterback.

Jacksonville is 0-3 with only 40 points through three games. The Jaguars need Lawrence to start playing like what they hoped he would be.

—Dan Holmes

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Expert picks

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons (FOX)

The NFC South delivers an intriguing early-season division rivalry game when the New Orleans Saints travel to face the Atlanta Falcons. Battle-tested Atlanta opened the season facing three 2023 postseason teams in a row. The Falcons aim to slow down a hot Saints offense that finally stalled in a loss to Philadelphia. With home-field advantage, Atlanta is considered a slight favorite.

Just as things aligned in Atlanta’s offense, injuries have hit the offensive line. Center Drew Dalman (ankle) was put on IR this week. Right tackle Kaleb McGary (knee) is also listed as questionable. Kirk Cousins (230 yards, TD) delivered a solid Week 3 with two backup linemen. But the veteran taking 10 hits and two sacks, as he did against the Chiefs, is not sustainable.

Bijan Robinson (16 carries, 31 yards) and the Falcons’ backfield struggled to gain traction in the run game against Kansas City. That said, Saquon Barkley (147 rushing yards) gashed the New Orleans defense in Week 3, which could aid the Falcons and their new linemen.

Following back-to-back 40-point blowouts, New Orleans was humbled in Week 3. Losing Pro Bowl center Erik McCoy three snaps into the game had a sizable impact. The Eagles outgained the Saints 460 to 219 in total yards. New Orleans is down two starters up front with McCoy (groin) sidelined for several weeks and right tackle Ryan Ramczyk on IR to start the year.

With a new line, the Saints need consistent production from quarterback Derek Carr (142 passing yards in Week 3) and running back Alvin Kamara (26 carries, 87 yards) after both were held in check during Week 3. Atlanta ranks 11th in passing defense after facing two good offenses in a row, offering another early test for Klint Kubiak’s offense.

—Scott Phillips

Expert picks

Los Angeles Rams at Chicago Bears (FOX)

Last week, Chicago Bears fans finally glimpsed what could be, as quarterback Caleb Williams managed to put together a halfway decent stat line and seemed to find a connection with fellow top-10 pick Rome Odunze. But there is much more work to be done, and if the Rams weren’t the walking wounded, Chicago would be home underdogs instead of posting as slight favorites.

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So what to make of the favored Bears team through three weeks?

First, the good.

After two weeks of unimaginative playcalling, offensive coordinator Shane Waldron finally adjusted his approach to fit the personnel at hand. In Week 3, the Bears dramatically increased their use of motion and play action, which allowed Williams more time to throw than he had all season. They also continued reallocating Gerald Everett’s routes to the far more dynamic Cole Kmet and ramped up Odunze’s routes and targets as well. Both thrived with more attention.

Chicago has a great defense and thus will be within striking distance more games than not, and Williams’ playmaking ability should surface more regularly with schemes focused on their best pass catchers.

The bad is obvious: They have no offensive line. Opposing pass rushers get free access to the backfield, and the lack of any semblance of a running attack doesn’t help. Williams looks like a rookie, but it’s hard to gain experience when he’s running for his life before class can begin.

The Rams may enter as underdogs, but they have the better coaching staff and a much better quarterback at this point. Matthew Stafford just engineered a miracle win against the Niners in which he made high-pressure throw after high-pressure throw despite being down his two lead receivers. And, don’t forget, head coach Sean McVay was Waldron’s former mentor in LA.

That familiarity could well be the edge, as the Rams don’t boast a particularly fearsome defense. If they can stay a step ahead of the Bears playcallers and force the Chicago defense to work overtime, Stafford has the experience to exploit any slip-ups.

—J.J. Bailey

Expert picks

Philadelphia Eagles at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (FOX)

The Philadelphia Eagles’ disappointing 2023 season concluded with a blowout playoff loss on the road against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They can try to get a small portion of revenge and maybe get their 2024 season off to a better start on Sunday when they make their return to Raymond James Stadium as slim road favorites.

The Eagles have a couple of big concerns on offense, both injury-related and performance-related.

When it comes to the former, wide receiver A.J. Brown has missed the past two games due to a hamstring injury, while wide receiver DeVonta Smith had to leave Sunday’s game against New Orleans with a concussion and is beginning the week in concussion protocol. Starting right tackle Lane Johnson’s availability is also unknown due to a concussion that he suffered in Week 3. Any of those potential absences would be a major concern for the Eagles offense.

Regarding performance, quarterback Jalen Hurts is still dealing with the turnover issues and inconsistencies that plagued him in the second half of the 2023 season.

Given all of that, the Eagles might again need to rely on running back Saquon Barkley to be the driving force behind the offense.

He will get to go up against a Buccaneers offense that is allowing 137.7 rushing yards per game, 25th in the NFL entering Sunday.

The Buccaneers’ upcoming schedule is brutal over the next two months, with games against the Eagles, Falcons, Saints, Ravens, Falcons (again), Chiefs and 49ers all looming over the next seven weeks. That is a list of Super Bowl contenders and division rivals that will not only tell us a lot about how good the Buccaneers are but also make or break the direction their season takes in the standings.

—Adam Gretz

Expert picks

Cincinnati Bengals at Carolina Panthers (FOX)

The outlook of the Carolina Panthers’ season changed with a switch to Andy Dalton at quarterback. Now Dalton and Carolina’s revamped offense will face his former team when the Panthers host the struggling Cincinnati Bengals. Even though the Bengals are winless this season, they are favored in this matchup.

Taking over for benched starter Bryce Young, Dalton became the first QB this season to throw for 300 yards and three touchdowns in a game during a decisive road win over the Raiders. Carolina’s rejuvenated offensive line gives Dalton a clean pocket (five hits, two sacks allowed last game) and lanes for featured back Chuba Hubbard (169 yards total offense against Raiders). A working passing game with Dalton ignited offseason acquisition Diontae Johnson. The wideout had fourteen targets from Dalton that led to eight grabs, 122 yards and a TD.

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Cincinnati’s defense is scrambling after an embarrassing Monday defeat against Washington. The Bengals didn’t force a punt, get a stop or generate a turnover against rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels. With competent QB play, Carolina’s offense is no longer a pushover — even with wide receiver Adam Thielen’s move to IR this week.

The offense hasn’t been the problem for Cincinnati the last two weeks. With the return of wide receiver Tee Higgins from injury during Week 3, quarterback Joe Burrow has a full field of options. Star receiver Ja’Marr Chase immediately benefited from Higgins’ return with 118 yards and two touchdowns against Washington.

Getting to Burrow is a focus for Carolina’s front. Week 3’s win over Las Vegas saw the Panthers defense generate six quarterback hits and three sacks — more pressure than the first two weeks combined.

—Scott Phillips

Expert picks

Denver Broncos at New York Jets (CBS)

Bo Nix and the Broncos finally reached the win column in Week 3 against Tampa Bay, but if they have momentum, oddsmakers aren’t seeing it. Denver opened as touchdown underdogs against the Jets this week, and their improbable road upset against the Bucs did nothing to move the line.

Betting on the Jets to cover that big of a spread would normally be throwing money away, but Nix has yet to show consistency in the passing game, and the Denver running attack is nonexistent. Lead back Javonte Williams has 52 yards in three games, a total that third-stringer Tyler Badie eclipsed in their last contest. Nix currently leads the team on the ground with 107 yards, and though the Jets are vulnerable against the run, Denver doesn’t have the weapons to exploit that weakness.

New York has been better in coverage than their cumulative stats suggest, as only one opposing pass catcher has reached 70 yards, and they’ve allowed just one touchdown through the air. With Nix at the bottom of the league in air yards per attempt (3.3) and no meaningful threat on the ground to draw attention, a breakout passing game isn’t likely in Week 4.

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Meanwhile, Aaron Rodgers and the Jets passing attack are getting more dangerous by the game. Rodgers’ time to throw has increased every week, beginning at 2.33 seconds against the Niners and rising to 2.6 against the Patriots. If there’s a universal truth in the NFL, it’s that you don’t give great passers time. Rodgers has proven that, ramping up his yards per game each week.

The Broncos have two good cover safeties in Brandon Jones and P.J. Locke, but their pass rush is middle of the road, and they can be gashed on the ground. The Jets have the horses to do so with Breece Hall and blossoming rookie Braelon Allen, meaning Denver’s defense will have its hands full all over the field.

Nathaniel Hackett calling plays for the Jets is another potential wrinkle for the Broncos since he’s not likely to let off the accelerator after Sean Payton’s scathing review of Hackett’s time as Denver’s head coach. Everything is lining up for the Jets to cover in Jersey.

—J.J. Bailey

Expert picks

Washington Commanders at Arizona Cardinals (FOX)

Fresh off of a statement victory, Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders look to maintain their momentum on the road against the favored Arizona Cardinals. This also is a homecoming of sorts for Daniels, who started his college career at Arizona State before transferring to LSU. The same could be said about Daniels’ offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury, who was the Cardinals’ head coach from 2019-22.

Daniels and Kingsbury are coming back to the desert, with Washington (2-1) enjoying its first winning streak since the start of last season. Daniels was near-perfect in the Commanders’ 38-33 victory in Cincinnati on Monday night. He was responsible for three touchdowns and set a rookie single-game record for completion rate (91.3 percent) in his duel with fellow Heisman Trophy winner Joe Burrow.

Daniels has teamed with Brian Robinson Jr. and Austin Ekeler (who suffered a concussion on Monday night) to give Washington a multifaceted running attack. However, Ekeler has been ruled out for this game. Even without Ekeler, Daniels and Robinson could pose problems for an Arizona defense that surrendered 187 yards on the ground to Detroit in last week’s 20-13 loss.

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Kyler Murray, another member of the Heisman fraternity, is off to his own strong start for the Cardinals (1-2). He’s thrown five touchdown passes and just one interception through the first three games and is averaging more than 10 yards per carry. After an extremely quiet debut, wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. has made his presence known (three touchdown catches in the last two games), and the rookie will be the focus of a Commanders defense still figuring out new head coach Dan Quinn’s system. It’s early, but Washington is second to last in the league in passing yards allowed per game and dead last in third-down conversions allowed (61.3 percent).

Combine the dynamic quarterbacks with the defensive shortcomings on both teams and sprinkle in some extra motivation for some of the participants and this could be one of the more entertaining matchups in the Week 4 slate.

—Mark Ross

Expert picks

New England Patriots at San Francisco 49ers (FOX)

An unexpected two-game losing streak has the San Francisco 49ers seeking answers when they host the New England Patriots. San Francisco will try to overcome injuries on both sides of the ball against a New England team that owns a gutsy Week 1 upset over Cincinnati. Even without key players, the Niners are nearly double-digit favorites over the Patriots.

Star players continue to battle the injury bug for San Francisco. Christian McCaffrey (IR), Deebo Samuel (doubtful) and George Kittle (questionable) have all missed time for the offense. Defensive tackle Javon Hargrave and linebacker Dre Greenlaw are sidelined for Week 4. Even quarterback Brock Purdy (back) popped up on this week’s injury report.

On the positive side, Purdy looked comfortable moving the 49ers offense in spite of the injuries. Jauan Jennings elevated from reserve to go-to performer with 11 catches, 175 yards and three touchdowns in Samuel’s place during Week 3. Receiver Brandon Aiyuk and running back Jordan Mason are steady options to keep things moving. The Patriots struggled to slow down Aaron Rodgers and the Jets passing game in Week 3. Purdy and San Francisco’s second-ranked passing offense could attack New England’s secondary often.

New England needs an offensive overhaul after only a field goal and 11 first downs in its loss to the Jets. Rhamondre Stevenson and Antonio Gibson stalled to modest results after the backfield delivered a strong start. Struggling to get downfield, quarterback Jacoby Brissett was replaced by first-round pick Drake Maye for the final four minutes.

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New England’s offensive line must protect better. The group allowed seven sacks against New York. Nick Bosa leads a versatile San Francisco defense with eight sacks from seven different players.

—Scott Phillips

Expert picks

Cleveland Browns at Las Vegas Raiders (CBS)

The odds are tight for Sunday afternoon’s Cleveland Browns vs. Las Vegas Raiders game. It’s within the margin of a toss-up. Either way, one of these teams will emerge 2-2, and the other will fall into a hole with a road game facing them in Week 5.

“Embarrassing” is the operative word to describe the Week 3 loss by the Raiders to the Panthers and new starting quarterback Andy Dalton. The Raiders saw 36 points go up on their own scoreboard last week. The defense may have a chance to rebound, as it faces the lowly Cleveland offense (ranked 31st by yards, with just 50 points through three games). Yet, Las Vegas will be missing two starters in safety Marcus Epps and edge rusher Malcolm Koonce. Both are out for the season with knee injuries.

No QB has been hit more than Cleveland’s maligned Deshaun Watson. He’s been sacked 16 times, but that may be the least of his concerns. Last week, during a 21-15 loss to the Giants, Watson was seen on the sidelines following a stalled offensive series with a towel draped over his head, far from his offensive coordinator. If Watson has lost the confidence of his coaches, this season could get uglier. Watson hasn’t thrown for 200 yards in a game yet, with four total touchdowns and a pair of interceptions.

Add this to the “panic now” category, Browns fans: All-Pro guard Wyatt Teller will miss multiple weeks, which means protection for Watson just got worse.

—Dan Holmes

Expert picks

Kansas City Chiefs at Los Angeles Chargers (CBS)

Early control of the AFC West is on the line when the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers face off in SoFi Stadium. The Chiefs are sizable road favorites against the banged-up Chargers.

Kansas City (3-0) is off to another undefeated start, but none of the victories have come easily. Patrick Mahomes has nearly as many touchdown passes (five) as interceptions (four) while dealing with the absence of injured running back Isiah Pacheco and the disappearing act of tight end Travis Kelce. This has put more pressure on rookies Carson Steele and Xavier Worthy to contribute, while second-year wide receiver Rashee Rice has emerged as Mahomes’ top target.

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Mahomes has gone 8-2 against the Chargers in his career with a 25-to-6 touchdown-to-interception ratio, but this is not a vintage Andy Reid-coached Chiefs offense.

On the other end, Los Angeles (2-1) has been getting the job done on defense under new head coach Jim Harbaugh, giving up just 11 points per game. This unit could be missing two anchors on Sunday, though. Pass rusher Joey Bosa left last week’s loss in Pittsburgh with a hip injury, and do-everything safety Derwin James Jr. will serve a one-game suspension for player safety violations.

There are bigger health concerns on the other side of the ball. Quarterback Justin Herbert re-aggravated his ankle injury, and even if he’s able to gut it out, he will likely be without starting tackles Rashawn Slater (strained pectoral) and Joe Alt (MCL sprain). Los Angeles also has a bye in Week 5, which could factor into who plays on Sunday and who doesn’t.

The Chiefs may not be clicking on all cylinders right now, but they are still the reigning two-time Super Bowl champions and have defeated the Chargers five straight times.

—Mark Ross

Expert picks

Buffalo Bills at Baltimore Ravens (NBC)

Any concern about Josh Allen’s ability to thrive without top target Stefon Diggs can officially be put to bed. The Buffalo quarterback is the MVP frontrunner through three weeks despite throwing to a receiving corps devoid of any household names. But, despite the thorough dismantling of Jacksonville Monday night, Allen and the 3-0 Bills are road underdogs against the 1-2 Ravens.

Home-field advantage is doing a lot of work for Baltimore when it comes to the spread, as Lamar Jackson and company have yet to demonstrate a cohesive passing attack or an ability to finish games. Anyone who watched the Ravens in Week 3 saw them overwhelm the Cowboys for 80 percent of the contest, but the final score illuminates their Achilles heel in 2024. Over three games, Baltimore has been outscored 39-17 in the fourth quarter, and opposing offenses are essentially doubling their productivity against the Ravens in the second half of games. That’s bad news for Baltimore, with Buffalo coming in having scored at least 31 points in all three games and outscoring opponents 102-31 over the last five halves.

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Jackson has used his legs to keep games close, and Derrick Henry was able to punish Dallas’ interior rush defense last week, but that won’t be enough to keep pace with the Bills. The Ravens have passed well in the first half of games, but their air attack stalls late, largely due to the absence of an alpha receiver. No pass catcher has accumulated 150 yards or two touchdowns, and without Isaiah Likely’s surprise 111 yards against Kansas City in Week 1, they would have less than 600 receiving yards on the season. In previous years, Baltimore used tight end Mark Andrews to get their passing game unstuck. This season, the three-time Pro Bowler has been ineffective, and second-half drives have stalled without his reliable production. Kicker Justin Tucker is another lost safety net. Long considered automatic, he’s missed three of his eight attempts and is 0-2 from fifty yards or more.

The Ravens badly need to pull their record to even since the Steelers are off to a surprising 3-0 start in the division and have a favorable schedule ahead, so expect fireworks in the first half. But the Baltimore faithful will have to be as relentless as the Bills offense if the Ravens are going to hang with the visitors through all four quarters.

—J.J. Bailey

Expert picks

Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins (Monday, ESPN)

The script for Week 4’s Monday night matchup wasn’t supposed to look like this. Two spiraling teams do battle when the Miami Dolphins host the Tennessee Titans. Without injured quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (concussion), Miami’s offense went from No. 1 last year to the bottom this season. Timely turnovers from second-year quarterback Will Levis have significantly hurt Tennessee in all three of its losses.

Backup quarterback Skylar Thompson left Miami’s Week 3 loss in the second half with a chest injury — putting Tim Boyle under center for the rest of the game. Miami’s rotating backups only generated three points and 205 yards of total offense — forcing the Dolphins to consider multiple options at quarterback for Week 4. With Thompson’s questionable status, Tyler Huntley is another option Miami could turn to at QB.

Without Tua and running back Raheem Mostert (chest; questionable), the Dolphins’ high-octane offense has looked average. Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle have been neutralized by inconsistent quarterback play. Against a solid Tennessee defensive front that can make plays in the backfield, Miami needs more from its running game. De’Von Achane (11 carries, 30 yards) underwhelmed in the backfield without Mostert in the lineup.

Turnover problems and protection issues plague Tennessee’s offense. Levis has taken 15 sacks and accounted for a league-high eight turnovers in three games. Any momentum the Titans generate with veteran receivers DeAndre Hopkins and Calvin Ridley is negated by costly mistakes from Levis at inopportune times.

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Levis should have time to throw against Miami’s inconsistent pass rush — which is bottom third in pressure rate. But the wild turnovers have to stop for Tennessee to put up points.

—Scott Phillips

Expert picks

Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions (Monday, ABC)

In the second game of Week 4’s Monday night doubleheader, the Detroit Lions are favored at home against a Seattle Seahawks team looking to stay undefeated.

This past Sunday, Seattle (3-0) took full advantage of Miami’s quarterback issues, knocking Skylar Thompson out of the game and registering a total of six sacks in a convincing 24-3 home win. Geno Smith finished with more passing yards (289) than the Dolphins had in total offense (205).

Smith is third in the NFL with 787 passing yards and is completing 75 percent of his attempts, although he has as many interceptions as touchdowns (three). Smith could get more help from the backfield if Kenneth Walker III can return after missing the past two games because of an oblique injury. Zach Charbonnet is coming off of his best effort after rushing for 91 yards and two touchdowns.

Detroit (2-1) also has found success on the ground. David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs combined for 188 rushing yards in last week’s 20-13 win in Arizona. However, there also were a couple of potential big losses. Center Frank Ragnow suffered a torn pectoral, while tight end Sam LaPorta injured his ankle.

For the Seahawks, Mike Macdonald’s defensive reputation is already paying off, but the first-year head coach and his team have had the benefit of opening up at home against a rookie quarterback (Denver’s Bo Nix), facing a journeyman in Week 2 (New England’s Jacoby Brissett) and facing Miami’s backups. Even though he’s gotten off to a slow start, Jared Goff is a three-time Pro Bowler, and the Lions’ defense has been playing well it’s time to find out which NFC team is a true contender.

—Mark Ross

Expert picks

(Photo of Geno Smith: Rio Giancarlo / Getty Images)

NFL Week 4 odds, expert picks for all 16 games: Five undefeated teams hit the road as rivalries heat up (2024)

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